Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 83880.690625 88529.850371 93176.816279 98166.809946 103370.147437 108632.619314 114353.818025
2025-01-19 75703.912018 82785.141321 90061.270899 98086.160352 106678.101605 115590.808833 125524.655997
2025-01-26 71256.396236 80112.989925 89410.777046 99878.104872 111312.165513 123401.177952 137126.956907
2025-02-02 67906.652811 78138.506151 89073.626343 101594.474089 115497.818129 130426.203989 147629.876630
2025-02-09 64613.442190 75893.619711 88140.650458 102373.169345 118404.040214 135847.630510 156207.943312
2025-02-16 61242.306907 73307.346910 86597.058883 102251.124136 120111.768928 139780.296953 163000.584098
2025-02-23 58695.219399 71481.512753 85751.843107 102767.196603 122406.927156 144266.935444 170336.938006
2025-03-02 56174.113073 69537.585636 84637.924934 102849.979988 124098.994020 147985.795175 176740.353475
2025-03-09 54594.186046 68596.969592 84599.044915 104099.443282 127073.789078 153130.575887 184760.021890
2025-03-16 52174.462758 66547.175287 83158.683627 103611.874895 127942.363477 155780.667064 189851.253146
2025-03-23 51070.976972 66015.545658 83462.212921 105140.658237 131148.497467 161135.839243 198100.568009
2025-03-30 49769.050282 65179.054964 83346.179915 106120.920514 133669.346154 165669.483505 205387.880566
2025-04-06 48014.635162 63750.801692 82493.813611 106208.843743 135140.406455 169006.088727 211339.474172
2025-04-13 46237.685895 62234.105348 81481.670002 106058.116085 136292.638611 171950.001427 216832.422124
2025-04-20 45592.155536 62104.789711 82151.210982 107952.146568 139924.915653 177878.144409 225936.586018
2025-04-27 44962.368260 61962.136893 82778.398495 109776.245951 143466.720059 183708.323961 234955.542700
2025-05-04 43905.070336 61229.333402 82630.502598 110604.414554 145761.224355 188019.200239 242144.401310
2025-05-11 42466.551132 59953.671681 81752.336814 110474.364016 146833.289541 190816.488875 247480.565386
2025-05-18 41411.852543 59142.554440 81433.227773 111023.610356 148734.795264 194625.347874 254066.394438
2025-05-25 40209.584728 58097.044738 80777.614071 111111.710220 150031.552946 197673.649304 259714.870284
2025-06-01 39601.875607 57820.576343 81098.855858 112441.418665 152896.966403 202679.789552 267817.400672
2025-06-08 38246.767652 56498.176443 80018.241124 111922.558715 153377.345028 204686.432783 272173.052446
2025-06-15 37837.256966 56442.554441 80590.314120 113549.359515 156611.089015 210165.512918 280910.236658